We recently published a list of 8 Best Inexpensive Stocks To Invest In Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) stands against the other best inexpensive stocks to invest in now.
Are Experts Already Looking Into 2025?
The recent market surge has raised concerns about potential market overvaluation. While the market has experienced significant gains, there are growing concerns about the allocation of capital and the potential for inflationary pressures. The market has witnessed a significant upward trend following the Fed’s rate cut, with major indices reaching new all-time highs. This surge reflects a combination of factors, including increased investor confidence and optimism about the economic outlook.
Investors are advised to carefully consider their investment strategies amidst the current market dynamics. While small-cap stocks offer potential growth opportunities, it is crucial to evaluate the broader market trends and potential risks. By understanding the market dynamics, investors can navigate the current landscape and make informed decisions to achieve their financial goals.
On top of economic uncertainty, the upcoming elections also drive analysts to become overly cautious as the market becomes more volatile in the short term due to confused investor sentiments. Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors managing partner and head of research recently appeared on CNBC and recommended investing in small-cap stocks and equities over bonds, as they offer better growth potential, as long as the election uncertainty remains. We went over his opinion in greater detail in our article about the 10 Best Young Stocks To Buy Now, here’s an excerpt from it:
“….Tom Lee explained that the Fed’s actions have initiated an easing cycle, which historically tends to yield positive outcomes for the market 3-6 months down the line. However, he cautioned that stock performance in the immediate future remains uncertain due to ongoing repositioning ahead of the upcoming election in 40 days.
….He noted that many wealth managers and family offices are hesitant to commit capital until after Election Day, preferring to wait until that event is behind them. He expressed optimism about a potential surge in stock prices following the election, stating that November and December typically see strong rallies in election years, especially when markets have already gained more than 10% in the first half of the year.
….He highlighted an upcoming Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report expected on Friday, which could confirm that inflation is no longer a pressing concern…Regarding a comment on recent target adjustments for the S&P 500, mentioning Brian Belski’s increase of his target to the highest on Wall Street, Lee acknowledged the potential upside in the next 3-6 months, expressing skepticism about setting aggressive targets like 6,000 for the S&P 500 at this time due to current valuations not being particularly low and having already experienced significant gains.”
As more and more analysts suggest space for further rate cuts, Vance Howard, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Howard Capital Management predicts a rate cut in early 2025 due to falling inflation and historical trends.
Appearing on CNBC on September 25, Vance Howard discussed the outlook for the market and the economy as we approach Q1 2025. He confidently stated that another significant rate cut is likely, driven by data indicating a need for it, particularly as inflation begins to decline. Howard pointed out that historically, after the first rate cut, markets tend to rise, with a perfect record of being higher 7 out of 7 times following such cuts. He also noted that if the S&P 500 has already gained 10% in the first half of the year, there is an 83% chance of continued upward movement in the second half. Therefore, he advised investors to remain optimistic and not be overly distracted by current market noise.
When asked about strategies for setting up portfolios in light of potential market volatility, Howard emphasized the importance of focusing on certain sectors. He highlighted utilities and real estate as promising areas, benefiting from falling interest rates. Howard expressed that reaching an all-time high in the market is a strong bullish signal and encouraged investors to buy on pullbacks.
Regarding specific sectors to watch, Howard identified financials as likely to strengthen following rate cuts. He explained that while financial stocks might initially dip after a rate cut, they typically rebound and continue to rise. Furthermore, he recommended staying invested in technology stocks.
Howard’s insights could potentially help investors navigate through potential market changes heading into 2025. By focusing on resilient sectors like utilities, real estate, and technology while considering strategic investments in convertible bonds and financials, investors may position themselves well for future gains.
Methodology
We used the Finviz stock screener to compile a list of 20 stocks with a forward P/E ratio under 20. We then selected the 8 best inexpensive stocks that were the most popular among elite hedge funds and that analysts were bullish on. The stocks are ranked in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them, as of Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
An e-commerce platform displaying a wide range of products to customers online.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA)
Forward Price-to-Earnings Ratio: 11.31
Market Cap as of September 26: $206.51 billion
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 91
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet, and technology, offering products and services like e-commerce, cloud computing, mobile payment, digital media, and artificial intelligence. The company is best known for its e-commerce platforms, such as Taobao, and Tmall, which are among the largest online marketplaces in the world.
In FQ1 2025, revenue was up 4.59% from the year-ago period. E-commerce business generated was up 4% year-over-year. Global e-commerce ventures, like Lazada and Aliexpress, experienced a 32% increase in sales in the international online shopping sector. Quarterly revenues from its cloud division reached a 6% increase. Moreover, revenue from AI-related products experienced a year-over-year growth of over 155%.
The company has been using AI chatbots for years and has recently made significant advancements in its cloud business. The cloud segment benefits from AI-powered personalized suggestions and is developing a large language model called Qwen 2.0. Its AI cloud platform has seen strong growth, indicating positive user reception.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) driving growth in the competitive e-commerce market through its innovative AliExpress Choice service. The company’s recent fee increase announcement has positively impacted market sentiment. With a rapidly expanding market, it is well-positioned for long-term growth due to its competitive advantage and strong brand.
O’keefe Stevens Advisory stated the following regarding Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“We initiated two new positions during the quarter: Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) and Perrigo (PRGO). Both have seen their stocks decline over 70%+ from their all-time highs.
Alibaba is the largest e-commerce player in China, with 40% gross merchandise volume (GMV) market share through its Taobao and T-mall businesses. While the cloud computing business is relatively small, its 37% market share in China positions it well to capitalize on the increasing demand for AI-related products. In the most recent quarter, AI-related cloud revenue recorded triple-digit growth y/y, with the expectation that total cloud revenue will accelerate to double-digit growth in 2H 2025.
It’s rare to find a dominant market share business with significant tailwinds trading for ~10x adj. EPS. After accounting for their ~$60B net cash balance sheet, the stock is trading at 6-7x, which, we believe, is far too cheap. We understand this business would not trade at this price if it were a U.S. business. However, the valuation gap at a high single-digit P/E is pricing in a combination of the following risks – 1. China invading Taiwan. 2. Cash can never leave mainland China (disproven). 3. Increasing competition from Pinduoduo and Shien resulting in market share loss 4. China’s geopolitical tensions worsen. 5. Economic slowdown stemming from the recent housing market downturn. 6. VIE structure creates doubt over the actual ownership of the business. All risks have merit, with cash distribution restrictions at the lower end due to the recently announced dividend and special dividend. Cash returned to shareholders totaled $16.5B in FY24, up from $13.4B in FY23…”
Overall BABA ranks 5th on our list of best inexpensive stocks to invest in now. While we acknowledge the potential of BABA as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold great promise for delivering high returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than BABA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
