Air Lease Corp (AL): Renting Is Not Just a Good Business for Landlords

Page 2 of 2

Maintaining a low average aircraft age also provides unexpected strategic benefits. Disposing of older aircraft helps to fund new aircraft orders with disposal proceeds, minimizing the need for excessive leverage. Moreover, Air Lease’s employees are not caught between the hunter and farmer roles, with a clear focus on winning new business instead of devoting too much attention to portfolio servicing.

Future outlook

For the first quarter of fiscal 2013, Air Lease Corp (NYSE:AL) grew quarterly revenue and diluted EPS by 45% and 46%, respectively, year-on-year. It acquired seven aircraft in the quarter; and is expected to capitalize on an A- credit rating from Kroll Bond Rating Agency to gain attractive access to capital markets for further expansion.

Peer comparison

Air Lease Corp (NYSE:AL)’s peers include Aircastle Limited (NYSE:AYR) and AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) .

Aircastle is focused on leasing of high-utility commercial jet aircraft, with a current portfolio of 158 aircraft on lease with 66 customers located in 36 countries. It grew lease rental and finance lease revenue for the first quarter of 2013 by 5% year-on-year to $160.5 million, partly boosted by aircraft acquisitions of $25.9 million. However, it is worth noting that Aircastle Limited (NYSE:AYR) terminated leases for five aircraft  early due to lessee financial difficulties; this could be reflective of the higher credit risk of its customer base, in particular in emerging markets. Aircastle Limited (NYSE:AYR) generated more than half of its fiscal 2012 revenue from Asia, Middle East, Africa and Latin America.

Headquartered in Netherlands, AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) is one of the world’s largest aircraft lessors with 366 owned aircraft. Lease revenue for Aercap fell by 5% year-on-year from $252.7 million to $226.8 million in the first quarter of 2013. This as average lease assets decreased by 6% to $7.4 billion with the sale of its $1 billion asset-backed securitisation vehicle with a portfolio of 50 aircraft to Guggenheim Partners, a diversified financial firm, in November 2012.

Going forward, AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) plans to leverage $375 million of unrestricted cash and an un-drawn credit availability of $290 million to access attractive investment opportunities to expand its portfolio. However, I am negative on AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) given its high concentration of Airbus aircraft, representing more than 70% of net book value of its aircraft portfolio at the end of 2012.

Conclusion

Air Lease is valued at a premium to its peers with a P/B of 1.2, indicating that its competitive advantages of direct OEM purchasing and young aircraft portfolio age have largely been factored into its share price. I will advise investors to reconsider Air Lease Corp (NYSE:AL) on a share price pullback to below book value.

Mark Lin has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

The article Renting Is Not Just a Good Business for Landlords originally appeared on Fool.com.

Mark is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network — entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Page 2 of 2