Agilent Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:A) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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I don’t know if you caught it in Mike call script, but our sales funnel for instruments are actually growing. So that would say that at some point in time those budgets are going to be released and the orders will close, when I’ve seen deals come out of – the funnel. We’re not seeing order cancellations, we’re not seeing changes to our one loss ratio. And we’re encouraged by the growth we’re seeing in biopharma. On the small molecule side, we know that different rates of replacements during the cycles, but we think this will follow historical cycle. I think the real wildcard for us, we look forward into ’24, is really what do we assume around the China market. We’re not assuming any kind of major further degradation, but at the same point in time, it’s the path to return to kind of historic growth rates.

That’s the open question right now.

Vijay Kumar: Understood. Thanks, guys.

Operator: We’ll go next now to Dan Leonard at Credit Suisse.

Mike McMullen: Hi, Dan.

Dan Leonard: Thank you. Hi, Mike. I wanted to follow-up on that last part. You’ve seen a lot of cycles in China over 30 plus years. What would you compare this to and how do we get out of it?

Mike McMullen: I am as old as the dirt and have been working in this marketplace since the mid-90s. I haven’t seen a cycle like this before. And we’ve not seen a situation where the – there’s really seem to be a lack of confidence right now in the macro economy. Now, look I’m not sharing – anything that the audience here doesn’t fully understand already. So, the way we get out of this, I think is China led by the government. We’ll get back to focusing on its long-term goals of making China an innovation driven economy, which will require continued investments in R&D. It’s going to also get back to focusing on improving the health of – the population, addressing some of environment issue, so we think it’s getting back to fundamentals.

Yes, we think that eventually will occur, but there’s a lot of issues that we may be work through within the China right now. But – it’s a very large market, the market is not going to disappear. And I think there’ll be investments. I think there’s also needs to be a level of confidence in the private sector in China, that it’s a good time to reinvest and maybe I shouldn’t wait on the sidelines hope for its stimulus, but get back to work and get my business going. So there’s a lot of dynamics. I really have to say though, I don’t know if I have a comparable situation that we’ve been through for this long. I think Bob and I were talking earlier today. The change in the food ministry, a number of years ago is – was the biggest thing we’ve seen or 24 plus seven some of the biggest things we’ve seen a change, but this is much more of a macro economic issue in China, which is different than what we’ve seen before.

Obviously, we have an impact on life sciences tool, but it’s a much bigger macro story is really driving the softness right now in our markets.

Robert McMahon: Yes. The only thing I would say, Dan to build on what Mike was saying is, as he mentioned, the demographics are with us when you think about the aging population, the need to actually access healthcare more important therapeutics, and the importance of ensuring the water and food supply. They are the world’s leaders today in electric and clean energy. It’s hard to believe when everyone thinks about that. But they are the leader, and they have more electric cars than any other region. And so, I think that investment is going to be key as Mike talking about from the government, but unless they changed their strategic priorities, I think that’s the benefit for life sciences in general.

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