Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) on Substack by Felix. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on AMD. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)’s share was trading at $95.29 as of April 15th. AMD’s trailing and forward P/E were 95.29 and 20.49 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to Begin U.S. Chip Production in TSMC’s Arizona Plant for AI Expansion

A close up of a complex looking PCB board with several intergrated semiconductor parts.

AMD is rapidly positioning itself as a major player in the semiconductor industry, emerging as a strong competitor alongside larger firms like NVIDIA, particularly within the booming AI-driven sector. While NVIDIA has dominated the AI conversation, AMD has been quietly building a formidable AI strategy, focusing on its MI300X AI accelerators. This innovation, coupled with a robust and diverse product portfolio, has enabled AMD to gain significant traction in the data center market, which is experiencing exponential growth. In fact, the data center segment now accounts for 50% of AMD’s revenue, having experienced a remarkable 94% year-over-year growth in 2024, underscoring the company’s ability to capitalize on the rising demand for cloud computing and AI technologies.

AMD’s business model is anchored in four core segments: data centers, client computing, gaming, and embedded solutions. Each of these areas plays a vital role in the company’s growth, but it is the data center business, driven by AMD’s EPYC processors and MI300X GPUs, that has proven to be the most lucrative. The global expansion of cloud infrastructure has created an essential market for AMD’s chips, which are crucial for powering virtual machines and optimizing cloud services, making the company an integral part of the digital transformation. Meanwhile, the client computing segment, which is driven by AMD’s Ryzen processors, is also growing, though it contributes less than the data center business. However, AMD has faced challenges in its gaming and embedded segments, where it has seen declines of 58% and 33%, respectively, due to market slowdowns and overall contraction in the gaming industry.

Despite these challenges, AMD’s prospects remain highly promising, particularly within the data center market. The growing demand for AI and machine learning applications presents a massive opportunity for the company. AMD’s MI300X GPU is specifically designed for high-performance AI workloads, making it indispensable for cloud service providers such as Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure. By offering a cost-effective alternative to NVIDIA’s offerings, AMD is providing businesses with the tools they need to optimize operations while reducing costs, an attractive proposition as the cloud computing market continues to expand.

A key factor behind AMD’s success is its technological advantage. The company has built a strong moat around its products through innovation, price-to-performance leadership, and strategic partnerships. AMD’s Zen architecture powers both its Ryzen and EPYC chips, offering superior performance and energy efficiency compared to its main rival, Intel. This gives AMD a competitive edge, particularly in the data center sector, where power efficiency and performance are paramount. Furthermore, AMD’s RDNA and CDNA architectures, which power its GPUs, have positioned the company as a serious competitor to NVIDIA in both gaming and AI, offering better performance at more attractive price points. Strategic partnerships with companies like Microsoft, Sony, Dell, and Google have also been integral to AMD’s success, providing access to key markets like gaming consoles, cloud services, and enterprise computing.

In addition to its technological prowess, AMD has a strong manufacturing capability, thanks to its partnership with TSMC. Through this collaboration, AMD is able to produce chips using the advanced 7nm and 5nm processes, resulting in faster and more energy-efficient products. This has allowed the company to scale production effectively while maintaining competitive pricing, thereby building a loyal customer base among gamers, tech enthusiasts, and enterprise clients alike.

Looking to the future, AMD is well-positioned to continue benefiting from the growth in the data center market. The company’s EPYC processors and MI300X GPUs are tailored to support the next generation of data centers, which will be crucial for handling the growing demands of AI, machine learning, and other data-intensive applications. Furthermore, AMD’s focus on energy efficiency and cost-effectiveness makes its solutions even more appealing to businesses looking to optimize their cloud infrastructure, solidifying the company’s role in the next wave of digital transformation.

In conclusion, AMD’s diverse revenue streams, strong technological moat, and strategic positioning in the data center market make it an attractive investment. While its gaming and embedded segments may face temporary challenges, the long-term growth prospects in AI and cloud computing provide a clear path for sustained success. With its ability to innovate and compete effectively with larger players like NVIDIA, AMD is well on its way to becoming a dominant force in the semiconductor industry. Investors looking for exposure to the rapidly growing AI market would be wise to keep an eye on AMD, as the company’s compelling growth potential offers significant upside in the coming years.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 96 hedge fund portfolios held AMD at the end of the fourth quarter which was 107 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of AMD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AMD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.