ADT (ADT) Trading at a 37% Discount: Is This Security Giant a Hidden Value Gem?

We recently published a list of 10 Most Undervalued Stocks to Buy for Under $10. In this article, we are going to take a look at where ADT (NYSE:ADT) stands against the other most undervalued stocks to buy for under $10.

Market Outlook: Will October Bring a Pullback or a Rally?

In an interview on CNBC on October 8, Jose Rasco, CIO at HSBC Global Private Banking & Wealth Management discussed the current state of the stock market and the potential for a pullback. Rasco suggests that when the Fed starts to cut rates, fixed income tends to do well, particularly high-yield and investment-grade bonds. He recommends extending the duration and looking for quality credits. He also notes that historically, when the Fed eases, the US market tends to do well, especially during mid-cycle slowdowns. As a result, Rasco is looking for credit opportunities in Asia, particularly in India.

Rasco also mentioned that health care is a sector that tends to do well when the Fed eases. He notes that historically, health care has done very well in such environments, and it’s worth keeping an eye on. He also mentions that the growth-to-value ratio is currently at 2:1, which could lead to a mean reversion, making value stocks more attractive.

Paul Hickey, co-founder at Bespoke Investment suggests that a 1% decline in the market, which has already risen over 20% this year, is not necessarily something to get excited about. However, he does acknowledge that increased volatility is a concern, particularly with the geopolitical situation being the hottest it’s been in years, an upcoming election in November, and the impact of a hurricane in the southern United States. Hickey believes that the election and the hurricane are short-term events, but the geopolitical situation is a worry that could have a more significant impact on the market.

Despite these concerns, Hickey’s team has identified plenty of positives about the market, they believe that if a 5% pullback in the market were to occur, it would be a buying opportunity. In fact, Hickey notes that 5% pullbacks are more common in October than in any other month. Historically, when the market has been up 20% through the first three quarters of the year, October has been negative 7 out of 10 times, but the fourth quarter tends to be positive.

Hickey notes that the yield curve is flattening out, with the two-year yield flirting at 4% and the ten-year yield at 4%. This has implications for fixed-income investments, particularly with financials kicking off earnings later in the week. Hickey expects the yield curve to continue to flatten, which could impact the stock market.

Hickey notes that analysts have been lowering their earnings forecasts, which could set the bar low for companies to surpass. He expects the S&P 500 to see gains during the reporting period, particularly in sectors where the revision spreads are negative, such as technology, energy, and industrials.

While there are concerns about volatility and the geopolitical situation, there are also reasons to be optimistic about the market’s prospects, particularly with the Fed’s easing cycle and the potential for earnings growth.

Our Methodology

To compile our list of the  10 most undervalued stocks to buy for under $10, we used the Finviz and Yahoo stock screeners to find the 40 largest companies with stock prices under $10. From that list, we screened for companies that are trading at a forward P/E ratio of under 15 as of October 8. We then narrowed our choices to 10 stocks according to their hedge fund sentiment, which was taken from our database of 912 elite hedge funds as of Q2 of 2024. The list is sorted in ascending order of their hedge fund sentiment, as of the second quarter.

Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

A technician demonstrating a security solution for a corporate office.

ADT (NYSE:ADT)  

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 23  

Forward P/E Ratio as of October 8: 10.72  

Stock Price as of October 8: $7.03  

ADT (NYSE:ADT) is a leading provider of security and smart home solutions in the United States, offering services such as alarm monitoring, video surveillance, and home automation.

ADT (NYSE:ADT) has been steadily expanding its product portfolio by leveraging advancements in smart technology, which enhances its service offerings. The company’s subscription-based business model generates stable recurring revenue, making it appealing to investors seeking stability in the security services industry. ADT (NYSE:ADT) has over 6.4 million subscribers for its security monitoring services.

In collaboration with Google, ADT (NYSE:ADT) launched ADT Self Setup, an innovative, fully integrated DIY smart home security system. This product allows users to customize and manage their home security systems from anywhere using the ADT+ app, providing a flexible and user-friendly experience.

ADT (NYSE:ADT) is poised to benefit from the growing DIY security market, as well as the increasing demand for smart home solutions. The company is also making significant investments in cybersecurity, which is expected to drive future growth in net sales.

With its focus on innovation and customer satisfaction, ADT (NYSE:ADT) is well-positioned for long-term growth. Its stock is currently trading at a forward P/E of 10.72, representing a 37.23% discount to the sector median of 17.09. Analysts project a 28.57% earnings increase this year and have a consensus “Buy” rating on the stock.

Overall ADT ranks 5th on our list of most undervalued stocks to buy for under $10. While we acknowledge the potential of ADT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ADT but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.