In this article, we list and discuss the 15 Safest Cities To Live in Florida.
With a population of over 22.6 million residents as of 2023, Florida, known as the Sunshine State, is the second fastest-growing state in the United States, having grown at a rate of 5% since 2020. In fact, out of the top 5 fastest-growing metro areas in the US, four are situated in Florida, including Wildwood – The Villages, which is the retiree’s paradise with 85.9% of residents aged 65 years and over (See: 25 Safest and Cheapest Cities To Retire in Florida).
According to 2022 FBI data, Florida is considered one of the safest states to live in the US, with a violent safety incident rate of 258.9 per 100,000 inhabitants. This represents a decrease from the FBI’s 2019 data, which reported a violent safety incident rate of 378.4 per 100,000 inhabitants in Florida. As of 2022, the safety incident rate in Florida is lower than the national average of 380.7 per 100,000 inhabitants, which makes it the 11th safest state in the US overall.
Consequently, many Floridians feel safe living in the Sunshine State. A related community survey of the state’s Orange County in 2023 showed that about two-thirds of the county residents feel safe living in their community. While violent safety incidents are not much of a concern for the Floridians, its hurricane-prone weather is a real threat to the residents.
Hurricanes and Their Impact on the Florida Economy
According to the National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), hurricanes can form on the ocean surface if the surface water reaches a temperature of at least 80° Fahrenheit and there is a weather disturbance, such as a thunderstorm.
Unfortunately, living in Florida comes with a high risk of hurricanes, especially for those residing close to the coast. Florida beaches on the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico, reach an average temperature of above 80 °F (27 °C) throughout summer.
According to NOAA, there is a prediction of above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin in 2024. From June 1 to November 30, there is an 85% chance of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, a 10% chance of near-normal season, and a 5% chance of a below-normal season.
With the above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin, Florida has the highest vulnerability in the US, with a 75% chance of a hurricane and a 44% chance of a major hurricane. While most of Florida is prone to extreme weather threats like hurricanes, Ocala in central Florida is safest from hurricanes, with just 73 documented hurricanes since the 1930s (See: 15 Best Places to Retire in Florida Without Hurricanes).
On September 28, 2022, Hurricane Ian hit Florida’s Gulf Coast and brought heavy rains and 150 mph winds, resulting in catastrophic economic loss and significantly impacting residents across the state. According to the U.S. Economic Development Administration, the aftermath of Hurricane Ian left more than 2.6 million residents without power and about $12.6 billion in losses to insurance companies.
Hurricanes are the number one reason why insurance companies struggle in Florida. Some key players in the insurance industry, such as Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL) and Progressive Corp (NYSE:PGR) suffered heavy losses due to these weather disasters.
Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL), a US primary insurer, incurred a loss of $763 million, pre-tax in the third quarter of 2022 mainly because of Hurricane Ian. The gross catastrophe losses from Hurricane Ian, excluding National Flood Insurance Program losses, amounted to $671 million pre-tax. Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL) anticipated that this total would be reduced by $305 million, or 45%, through reinsurance recoveries, resulting in a net estimated loss of $366 million. Overall, in the net of reinsurance, Hurricane Ian caused a loss of $348 million, which accounted for 80% of the total loss in the month.
Meanwhile, Progressive Corp (NYSE:PGR), one of the largest American property and auto-focused insurance companies, estimated a loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE) of $1 billion for the catastrophic hurricane Ian. Out of which, Progressive Corp (NYSE:PGR) estimated vehicle losses of $585 million, which included boats and recreational vehicles. However, the firm’s reinsurance recovery was $800 million.
Now that above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin is posing threats to Florida in 2024 as well, insurance companies are preparing themselves for the challenge.
On the other hand, companies like NextEra Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE) are thriving in the state. In August 2023, when Hurricane Idalia landed as a major hurricane in Florida, NextEra Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE) was one of the companies involved in the power restoration of Southwest Florida and the hardest-hit areas of North Florida in the aftermath of the hurricane. By September 2023, NextEra Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE) restored power for 98% of customers affected by Hurricane Idalia.
Our Methodology
For our list of the safest cities to live in Florida, we have utilized the latest available FBI UCR statistics for the state. From this report, we extracted the number of crime incidents (safety incidents) within each city of Florida, and then using the population totals provided within the same report, we calculated the per capita crime incidents in each of the cities. To assess the risk of hurricanes by city, we have used HomeFact’s data for the number of Hurricanes recorded per city since 1930.
Lastly, to map out the 15 safest cities to live in Florida, we shortlisted the cities with the lowest number of per capita crime incidents and lowest risk of hurricanes. To do this, we assigned a weight of 70% to crime incidents and 30% to hurricane risk and calculated the weighted averages. The list is ranked in an ascending order. Note that the population counts mentioned in our list have been sourced from the FBI’s UCR and all other statistics have been sourced from the Census Bureau. Also, our list of the top 15 safest cities in Florida does not include towns and villages.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
15 Safest Cities To Live in Florida
15. Cape Coral
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.012
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 82
Situated in the Southwest of Florida, Cape Coral is a fast-growing city with a population of 194,183 according to FBI’s UCR. The city boasts extensive canals, making it one of the best places for water sports like fishing and boating. Cape Coral, having reported only 2,402 safety incidents in the year 2019, is a large, but relatively safe city.
14. Indian Harbour Beach
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.010
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 77
Ranked 14th, Indian Harbour Beach is a small coastal city with only 2.67 square miles of land and a population of 8,616. Retirees make up almost one-third of the population living in Indian Harbour Beach. Also, according to UCR, the city reported only 89 safety incidents in 2019, with only 4 of these being violent.
13. Lake Helen
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.010
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 80
Lake Helen, located in the Volusia County of Florida, is a small and safe city, with a population count of only 2,837 individuals. The city reported a total of 31 safety incidents according to the 2019 UCR, and has observed a total of 80 hurricanes in the past 94 years, which makes it a place to live on all accords.
12. Cooper City
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.010
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 79
Cooper City, with a population of 36,890, is the 12th safest city in Florida given its low crime incident statistics and low hurricane risks. The city houses 11,161 households and has an employment rate of 65.4%. Also, the median household income for Cooper City is $119,567, with 49.5% of the residents having attained a Bachelor’s degree or higher education.
11. Port St. Lucie
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.009
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 79
A city situated on the Atlantic coast of Southern Florida, Port St. Lucie is home to 199,433 individuals and 81,975 housing units. The city had a total of 1,989 crime incidents reported in 2019.
10. Trenton
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.008
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 75
10th on the list, Trenton is home to a small population of only 2,141 individuals, of which more than half are employed given the city’s employment rate of 52.2%. Between 1930 and 2024, the city observed a total of only 75 hurricanes and had only a total of 18 crime incidents reported in 2019.
9. Flagler Beach
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.008
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 77
Located in Flagler County, Flagler Beach City is best known for its 6 miles of uncrowded shoreline, lush green parks, fishing spots, and ocean-view dining. The city is home to 5,157 individuals, and reported only 44 safety incidents in 2019, with only 3 violent ones. Despite the large shoreline, the city is less prone to hurricanes, which further emphasizes its safety.
8. Marco Island
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.004
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 67
Marco Island City, housing a population of 18,124, is the 8th safest city to live in Florida, with only 90 total safety incidents reported in 2019 and only 67 hurricanes observed in the span of nearly a century. The median household income in the city is $105,315.
7. Winter Springs
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.007
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 77
7th on the list, Winter Springs experienced only about 77 hurricanes between 1930 and 2024. Also, the city reported only 295 safety incidents in 2019 despite having a large population of 37,854 individuals, which means you’re extremely unlikely to fall victim to any such incidents when in Winter Springs.
6. Lake Alfred
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.006
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 73
Located in Polk County, Lake Alfred is known best for its popular attractions like The Barn Antiques. The city is home to 6,123 individuals, of which 62.3% are employed. According to the latest UCR, only 40 safety incidents were reported in Lake Alfred city in 2019.
5. Oviedo
Number of Safety Incidents Per Capita: 0.008
Number of Hurricanes Recorded since 1930: 80
With a population count of 42,684, Oviedo reported a total of 348 safety incidents in 2019 and only 80 hurricanes in a span of 94 years. The city is home to 12,925 households.