6. NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA)
10-Year Revenue CAGR: 39.48%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 223
Average Upside Potential as of April 21: 65.53%
NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) is a computing infrastructure company that offers graphics and compute & networking solutions internationally. It sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system integrators and distributors, independent software vendors, cloud service providers, consumer internet companies, and others.
The growing adoption of NVIDIA’s Blackwell architecture is driving its revenue. In FQ4 2025, Blackwell’s revenue totaled $11 billion, which marked the fastest product ramp in the company’s history. Blackwell delivers ~25 times higher token throughput and 20 times lower cost than the Hopper 100 for reasoning AI. Large cloud service providers like Azure, GCP, AWS, and OCI are deploying Blackwell systems to meet their growing demand for AI infrastructure.
The overall Data Center segment at NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) made a record $35.6 billion in revenue in FQ4, which was a 93% year-over-year improvement. For the entire fiscal year 2025, the revenue doubled. However, Argus lowered the stock’s price target to $150 from $175 while keeping a Buy rating on April 17. The firm believes that the fresh US licensing requirements for AI chip exports, which include NVIDIA’s H20 models, will potentially impact quarterly earnings by as much as $55 billion.
Guinness Global Innovators is highly bullish on NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) due to its dominant AI chip market position. It stated the following in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
“For a second year running, NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) was the Fund’s top performing stock, delivering a stellar return of +177.7% over the year. Since the beginning of last year, Nvidia’s ‘Hopper’ GPUs have been at the centre of exploding demand for chips powerful and efficient enough to facilitate the energy intensive requirements of AI processes within datacentres. Initially possessing over 95% of market share in these types of chips, Nvidia have been quick to entrench their position as the technological leader in the space, launching the successor to the current ‘Hopper’ GPU in March, Blackwell, inhibiting the likes of AMD and Intel making meaningful inroads in taking share of the fast-growing market. Compared to the previous iteration (Hopper) which is continuing to fuel Nvidia’s extreme revenue growth, the Blackwell chip is twice as powerful for training AI models and has 5 times the capability when it comes to “inference” (the speed at which AI models respond to queries). Throughout the year, Nvidia’s financial performance has remained resilient. Quarterly revenues hit $35.1 billion in their most recent quarter, beating consensus expectations by 6% and representing a +94% year-over-year increase. Additionally, Nvidia’s data centre segment, driven by the Hopper (H100) chip, grew fivefold over the past year, underscoring the sustained demand for advanced AI infrastructure. The H100 chip, priced at around $40,000, continues to see significant adoption due to its ability to enhance AI model training efficiency while lowering overall costs. This growth is expected to continue as companies invest in upgrading existing data centres and building new ones, with Nvidia well-positioned to capture a significant share of the estimated $2 trillion market opportunity over the next five years. There have been some concerns over Blackwell production delays causing share price volatility however, Nvidia has recovered swiftly, driven by positive earnings results through the year and assurances from management regarding future supply. Additionally, the release of the H200 chip promises to extend Nvidia’s technological leadership, ensuring continued momentum into 2025. While Nvidia’s valuation remains a topic of debate, the stock is not at a significant premium to history, and it still appears reasonable given its dominant market position, innovative prowess, and exposure to long-term secular growth trends in AI, cloud computing, and data infrastructure. As a result, Nvidia remains well-positioned to deliver sustained outperformance over the long term, making it a cornerstone of growth-oriented portfolios.”
