4. NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Number of Hedge Funds Investors: 193
Bernstein’s Stacy Rasgon said in a latest program on CNBC that the demand is still strong for NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) and the company despite concerns in the industry:
“I mean, that is sort of the big question. I would say right now, at least the demand environment still looks really, really strong. Just to pick on Nvidia, like I think they’re going to sell everything that they can get out the door this year. So that that just becomes the question, how much can they get out the door? You know, but at this point, I would say like the only ones that really seem to be worried about the AI-like demand environment seem to be investors. Like the companies that are actually doing the spending right now, their capex forecasts and requirements and everything, they’re going up, not down.”
The market will keep punishing Nvidia for not coming up to its gigantic (and sometimes unrealistic) growth expectations. About 50% of the company’s revenue comes from large cloud providers, which are rethinking their plans amid the DeepSeek launch and looking for low-cost chips. Nvidia’s Q1 guidance shows a 9.4% QoQ revenue growth, down from the previous 12% QoQ growth. Its adjusted margin is expected to be down substantially as well to 71%. The market does not like it when Nvidia fails to post a strong quarterly beat. The stock will remain under pressure in the coming quarters when the company will report unimpressive growth.
Nvidia is facing challenges at several levels. Competition is one of them. Major competitors like Apple, Qualcomm, and AMD are vying for TSMC’s 3nm capacity, which could limit Nvidia’s access to these chips. Why? Because Nvidia also uses TSMC’s 3nm process nodes. Nvidia is also facing direct competition from other giants that are deciding to make their own chips. Amazon, with its Trainium2 AI chips, offers alternatives. Trainium2 chips could provide cost savings and superior computational power, which could shift AI workloads away from Nvidia’s offerings. Apple is reportedly working with Broadcom to develop an AI server processor. Intel is also trying hard to get back into the game with Jaguar Shores GPU, set to be produced on its 18A or 14A node.
Harding Loevner Global Developed Markets Equity Strategy stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
“For the full year, the composite’s underperformance was primarily due to poor stock choices in the US. NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), which we sold in the first quarter and repurchased in the fourth quarter, caused almost two-thirds of the strategy’s underperformance. We were hurt by our underweight as NVIDIA’s stock price soared during the first half of the year on the insatiable demand for the company’s graphics processing units (GPUs), which enable generative Al computing.
After ASML’s disappointing outlook led industry valuations to compress, we added a strong company back to the portfolio-NVIDIA.
There were two main reasons we sold NVIDIA last February (after holding the stock for more than five years). First, its biggest customers-data-center behemoths Amazon, Alphabet. Meta Platforms, and Microsoft-have been designing their own custom semiconductor chips, called application-specific integrated circuits (ASICS), that could eventually erode NVIDIA’s dominance. Second, it was unclear to us whether the adoption of Al by large enterprises will be as fast and meaningful as the optimistic views suggested…” (Click here to read the full text)
