1. Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 286
Jim Lebenthal from Cerity Partners explained his bullish case on Amazon during a latest program on CNBC:
“There’s so many superlatives to say about the stock. If you think retail is going to do well as employment stays strong, interest rates lower, and credit card costs go down, guess what— Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) going to benefit. If you think that hyperscalers are going to turn to propertization eventually, that’s going to lead to more monetization for Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web Services. You’ve got logistics, you’ve got other moonshots—I know that’s applicable to Alphabet—but really, what are you going to say negative about Amazon? The momentum’s there, the fundamentals are there, and I frankly think the valuation is attractive.”
If Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) grows its earnings per share (EPS) by an average of 25% annually over the next three years, it could achieve an EPS of around $9.25 by FY 2027 (up from an estimated $4.74 in FY 2024). Applying a 35x P/E ratio in line with Amazon.com Inc’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) historical average suggests a fair stock value of over $300. The primary catalyst for this target would be AWS’s robust operating income growth.
Montaka Global Investments stated the following regarding Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:
“Secondly, in August, we sold some of our holdings in two tactical positions in the tail of Montaka’s portfolio – Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Kyndryl Holdings (KD) – to take advantage of a near-20% drawdown in the stock price of Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN).
We still see plenty of upside in AMD and KD, but Amazon has more substantial and higher-probability upside that demanded we allocate even more of Montaka’s capital to the online retailer.
Investment opportunities always compete for capital. Through this lens, Montaka’s largest investments act as a kind of ‘benchmark’: Any new investment must be more attractive than these holdings to get included in our portfolio.
Because we believe Montaka’s largest investments remain so attractive, our annualized portfolio turnover has been low for many years now – typically around 25%.
We continually identify quality global businesses with upside potential – but few new investment opportunities have greater upside than Montaka’s existing portfolio investments.
While Montaka is focused on investing over the long term, and most days don’t require any action on our part, paradoxically we need to be agile on a daily basis. That is, we must be ready to act if stock price changes throw up attractive investment opportunities.”
While we acknowledge the potential of Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AMZN but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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